Rafael dos Anjos vs Tyson Griffin
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
32-18-0Record17-8-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'8"Height5'6"
70"ReachTBD
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
RDA AcademyTeamAmerican Kickboxing Academy· 1639 avg Elo · 6 rated
What's at stake
Rafael dos Anjos is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +8 while a loss costs more — Tyson Griffin carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+8→ 1706
If they lose-16→ 1682
If they win+21→ 1601
If they lose-11→ 1569
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1735 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1658 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Rafael dos AnjosTyson Griffin
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Rafael dos Anjos82%
Tyson Griffin 18%Elo baseline: 66%
The Combat Edge model makes Rafael dos Anjos a 82% favorite over Tyson Griffin in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (66%).
Rafael dos Anjos holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1698 to 1580, a 118-point edge.
Rafael dos Anjos enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Rafael dos Anjos finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Tyson Griffin 53%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.