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Combat Edge Intelligence

Rafael dos Anjos vs Yan Cabral

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

32-18-0Record15-3-0
LightweightDivisionWelterweight
5'8"Height6'0"
70"Reach73,0"
155 lbsWeight170 lbs
RDA AcademyTeamAranha Barcelona BJJ

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Rafael dos AnjosNow 1698
If they win+12→ 1710
If they lose-12→ 1686
Yan CabralNow 1698
If they win+16→ 1714
If they lose-16→ 1682

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1735 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1582 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

3.48
Sig. strikes / min
2.02
47%
Strike accuracy
48%
3.23
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
1.98
60%
Strike defense
62%
1.95
Takedown avg.
2.89
24%
Takedown accuracy
36%
55%
Takedown defense
38%
0.57
Submission avg.
1.24

Trajectory

Rafael dos AnjosYan Cabral
170020252026

Win method breakdown

5 (16%)
KO/TKO
1 (7%)
11 (34%)
Submission
13 (87%)
16 (50%)
Decision
1 (7%)

Combat Edge model read

Rafael dos Anjos67%
Yan Cabral 33%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Rafael dos Anjos a 67% favorite over Yan Cabral in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1698 vs 1698), separated by just 0 points.

Rafael dos Anjos enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Yan Cabral enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Rafael dos Anjos finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Yan Cabral 93%.

Yan Cabral carries a 3-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.