Combat Edge Intelligence

Rafael Fiziev vs Tofiq Musayev

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

14-5-0Record24-6-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'8"Height5'10"
71"Reach69"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Tiger Muay ThaiTeamOrion Fight Club

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Rafael FizievNow 1731
If they win+16→ 1747
If they lose-16→ 1715
Tofiq MusayevNow 1734
If they win+12→ 1746
If they lose-12→ 1722

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1745 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1672 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.71
Sig. strikes / min
1.84
53%
Strike accuracy
46%
4.84
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
1.74
50%
Strike defense
51%
0.83
Takedown avg.
2.30
67%
Takedown accuracy
60%
90%
Takedown defense
50%
0
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Rafael FizievTofiq Musayev
17001750202420252026

Win method breakdown

9 (64%)
KO/TKO
19 (79%)
1 (7%)
Submission
2 (8%)
4 (29%)
Decision
3 (13%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Rafael Fiziev and Tofiq Musayev within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1731 vs 1734), separated by just 3 points.

Tofiq Musayev enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Rafael Fiziev finishes 71% of wins inside the distance, Tofiq Musayev 88%.

Rafael Fiziev and Tofiq Musayev share 1 common opponent: Ignacio Bahamondes.

Rafael Fiziev carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (1)

WinDecision (unanimous) · 2025
Ignacio Bahamondes
WinDecision (unanimous) · 2026