Rafael Pereira vs Vinicius Pires
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
16-4-0Record12-3-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'6"Height5'9"
67.5"Reach67"
135 lbsWeight136 lbs
What's at stake
Rafael Pereira is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Vinicius Pires carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+15→ 1686
If they lose-17→ 1654
If they win+17→ 1660
If they lose-15→ 1628
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1548 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1529 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Rafael PereiraVinicius Pires
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Rafael Pereira54%
Vinicius Pires 46%Elo baseline: 54%
The Combat Edge model makes Rafael Pereira a 54% favorite over Vinicius Pires in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (54%).
Rafael Pereira holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1671 to 1643, a 28-point edge.
Rafael Pereira enters on a 10-fight win streak.
Rafael Pereira finishes 56% of wins inside the distance, Vinicius Pires 50%.
Rafael Pereira and Vinicius Pires share 1 common opponent: Lionel Abojer.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.
Common opponents (1)
WinSubmission (Rear Naked Choke) · 2026
WinSubmission (Rear Naked Choke) · 2025