Rafael Xavier vs Roland Dunlap
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
15-9-0Record7-1-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'1"Height6'3"
78"Reach79"
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
Sayyato Performance GymTeamRoufusport· 1700 avg Elo · 7 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1617
If they lose-16→ 1585
If they win+24→ 1631
If they lose-24→ 1583
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1529 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1521 · 7 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Rafael XavierRoland Dunlap
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Roland Dunlap56%
Rafael Xavier 44%Elo baseline: 51%
The Combat Edge model makes Roland Dunlap a 56% favorite over Rafael Xavier in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1601 vs 1607), separated by just 6 points.
Rafael Xavier finishes 87% of wins inside the distance, Roland Dunlap 57%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.