Rafael Xavier vs William Knight
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
15-9-0Record11-6-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'1"Height5'10"
78"Reach 73"
205 lbsWeight245 lbs
Sayyato Performance GymTeamThornton Martial Arts
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1617
If they lose-16→ 1585
If they win+16→ 1620
If they lose-16→ 1588
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1529 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1626 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Rafael XavierWilliam Knight
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Rafael Xavier68%
William Knight 32%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Rafael Xavier a 68% favorite over William Knight in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans William Knight's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1601 vs 1604), separated by just 3 points.
William Knight enters on a 5-fight loss streak.
Rafael Xavier finishes 87% of wins inside the distance, William Knight 82%.
Rafael Xavier carries a 5-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.