Rafaello Oliveira vs Yves Edwards
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
17-8-0Record42-22-1
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'8"Height5'10"
TBDReachTBD
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
AMA Fight ClubTeamAmerican Top Team
What's at stake
Yves Edwards is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Rafaello Oliveira carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+20→ 1621
If they lose-12→ 1589
If they win+9→ 1695
If they lose-15→ 1671
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1583 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1633 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Rafaello OliveiraYves Edwards
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Rafaello Oliveira and Yves Edwards within a point of even.
Yves Edwards holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1686 to 1601, a 85-point edge.
Rafaello Oliveira enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Yves Edwards enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Rafaello Oliveira finishes 60% of wins inside the distance, Yves Edwards 79%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.