Raffael Cerqueira vs Sean O'Connell
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
11-4-0Record21-10-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'3"Height6'1"
76"Reach74,0"
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
CTJ Judo & Jiu-JitsuTeamTBD
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1644
If they lose-16→ 1612
If they win+12→ 1642
If they lose-12→ 1618
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1554 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1598 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Raffael CerqueiraSean O'Connell
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Raffael Cerqueira63%
Sean O'Connell 37%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Raffael Cerqueira a 63% favorite over Sean O'Connell in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Sean O'Connell's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1628 vs 1630), separated by just 2 points.
Raffael Cerqueira enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Sean O'Connell enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Raffael Cerqueira finishes 91% of wins inside the distance, Sean O'Connell 71%.
Raffael Cerqueira carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.