Combat Edge Intelligence

Rainn Guerrero vs Tainara Lisboa

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

6-2-0Record7-4-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'6"Height5'7"
TBDReach67"
135 lbsWeight134 lbs
W4R Training CenterTeamDamas 013

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Rainn GuerreroNow 1588
If they win+24→ 1612
If they lose-24→ 1564
Tainara LisboaNow 1588
If they win+16→ 1604
If they lose-16→ 1572

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1518 · 8 fightsPre-fight Elo1544 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

0.65
Sig. strikes / min
1.68
33%
Strike accuracy
43%
0.87
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
1.42
50%
Strike defense
49%
3.27
Takedown avg.
1.53
100%
Takedown accuracy
36%
0%
Takedown defense
58%
0
Submission avg.
0.38

Trajectory

Rainn GuerreroTainara Lisboa
1550160016502022202320242025

Win method breakdown

1 (17%)
KO/TKO
3 (43%)
1 (17%)
Submission
3 (43%)
4 (67%)
Decision
1 (14%)

Combat Edge model read

Rainn Guerrero57%
Tainara Lisboa 43%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Rainn Guerrero a 57% favorite over Tainara Lisboa in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1588 vs 1588), separated by just 0 points.

Tainara Lisboa enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Rainn Guerrero finishes 33% of wins inside the distance, Tainara Lisboa 86%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.