Combat Edge Intelligence

Ramazan Emeev vs Sam Alvey

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Sam Alvey
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Sam Alvey

“Smile'n”

34-18-1MiddleweightB2FS

1640Solid

Tale of the tape

22-6-0Record34-18-1
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'10"Height6'2"
76"Reach75"
186 lbsWeight185 lbs
American Top TeamTeamTeam Quest

What's at stake

Ramazan Emeev is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +8 while a loss costs more — Sam Alvey carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Ramazan EmeevNow 1754
If they win+8→ 1762
If they lose-16→ 1738
Sam AlveyNow 1640
If they win+16→ 1656
If they lose-8→ 1632

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1667 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1664 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.53
Sig. strikes / min
3.28
45%
Strike accuracy
45%
2.14
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.63
65%
Strike defense
53%
2.37
Takedown avg.
0.06
30%
Takedown accuracy
14%
67%
Takedown defense
82%
0.70
Submission avg.
0.06

Trajectory

Ramazan EmeevSam Alvey
165017001750202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (14%)
KO/TKO
20 (59%)
7 (32%)
Submission
3 (9%)
12 (55%)
Decision
11 (32%)

Combat Edge model read

Ramazan Emeev81%
Sam Alvey 19%Elo baseline: 66%

The Combat Edge model makes Ramazan Emeev a 81% favorite over Sam Alvey in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (66%).

Ramazan Emeev holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1754 to 1640, a 114-point edge.

Ramazan Emeev enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Ramazan Emeev finishes 45% of wins inside the distance, Sam Alvey 68%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.