Combat Edge Intelligence

Ramazan Kuramagomedov vs Thad Jean

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Thad Jean
us

Thad Jean

“Silverback”

12-0-0WelterweightPFL

1770Great

Tale of the tape

14-0-0Record12-0-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height6'2"
72"Reach77"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
American Top TeamTeamFight Sports Deerfield Beach

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Ramazan KuramagomedovNow 1771
If they win+16→ 1787
If they lose-16→ 1755
Thad JeanNow 1770
If they win+16→ 1786
If they lose-16→ 1754

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1592 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1619 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

11.67
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
68%
Strike accuracy
TBD
9.13
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
54%
Strike defense
TBD
1
Takedown avg.
TBD
0%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
0%
Takedown defense
TBD
0
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Ramazan KuramagomedovThad Jean
165017001750202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (14%)
KO/TKO
6 (50%)
6 (43%)
Submission
1 (8%)
6 (43%)
Decision
5 (42%)

Combat Edge model read

Thad Jean51%
Ramazan Kuramagomedov 49%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Thad Jean a 51% favorite over Ramazan Kuramagomedov in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Ramazan Kuramagomedov's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1771 vs 1770), separated by just 1 points.

Ramazan Kuramagomedov enters on a 10-fight win streak.

Thad Jean enters on a 10-fight win streak.

Ramazan Kuramagomedov finishes 57% of wins inside the distance, Thad Jean 58%.

Ramazan Kuramagomedov and Thad Jean share 1 common opponent: Jason Jackson.

Thad Jean carries a 5-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (1)

WinDecision (Unanimous) · 2024
Jason Jackson
WinDecision (Split) · 2025