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Combat Edge Intelligence

Randy Brown vs Wellington Turman

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Randy Brown
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Randy Brown

“Rude Boy”

20-8-0WelterweightUFC

1742Good

Tale of the tape

20-8-0Record18-8-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'3"Height6'0"
78"Reach 72"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs

What's at stake

Randy Brown is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +8 while a loss costs more — Wellington Turman carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Randy BrownNow 1742
If they win+8→ 1750
If they lose-16→ 1726
Wellington TurmanNow 1616
If they win+16→ 1632
If they lose-8→ 1608

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1728 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1672 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

4.39
Sig. strikes / min
3.23
47%
Strike accuracy
51%
3.35
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.17
54%
Strike defense
45%
0.71
Takedown avg.
1.55
16%
Takedown accuracy
8%
75%
Takedown defense
43%
0.52
Submission avg.
0.78

Trajectory

Randy BrownWellington Turman
160016501700175020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

8 (40%)
KO/TKO
4 (22%)
5 (25%)
Submission
8 (44%)
7 (35%)
Decision
6 (33%)

Combat Edge model read

Randy Brown69%
Wellington Turman 31%Elo baseline: 67%

The Combat Edge model makes Randy Brown a 69% favorite over Wellington Turman in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (67%).

Randy Brown holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1742 to 1616, a 126-point edge.

Randy Brown enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Wellington Turman enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Randy Brown finishes 65% of wins inside the distance, Wellington Turman 67%.

Randy Brown carries a 6-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.