Randy Costa vs Tomáš Deák
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
8-4-0Record25-15-1
BantamweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'10"Height5'4"
73"Reach65.7"
135 lbsWeight137 lbs
Lauzon MMATeamOctagon Fighting Academy· 1591 avg Elo · 5 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1577
If they lose-16→ 1545
If they win+12→ 1577
If they lose-12→ 1553
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1558 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1541 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Randy CostaTomáš Deák
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Tomáš Deák60%
Randy Costa 40%Elo baseline: 51%
The Combat Edge model makes Tomáš Deák a 60% favorite over Randy Costa in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1561 vs 1565), separated by just 4 points.
Randy Costa finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Tomáš Deák 68%.
Randy Costa carries a 7-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.