Combat Edge Intelligence

Randy Couture vs Ricco Rodriguez

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Randy Couture
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Randy Couture

“The Natural”

19-11-0Light HeavyweightUFC

1721Good

Tale of the tape

19-11-0Record54-27-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'1"Height6'4"
75"ReachTBD
203 lbsWeight225 lbs
Xtreme CoutureTeamAmerican Fight Club

What's at stake

Randy Couture is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +8 while a loss costs more — Ricco Rodriguez carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Randy CoutureNow 1721
If they win+8→ 1729
If they lose-16→ 1705
Ricco RodriguezNow 1591
If they win+16→ 1607
If they lose-8→ 1583

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1666 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1598 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.85
Sig. strikes / min
1.85
58%
Strike accuracy
51%
1.53
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
1.15
59%
Strike defense
61%
2.78
Takedown avg.
2.30
47%
Takedown accuracy
39%
58%
Takedown defense
41%
0.48
Submission avg.
0.97

Trajectory

Randy CoutureRicco Rodriguez
160016501700175020092010201120122013201420152016201720182019

Win method breakdown

7 (37%)
KO/TKO
17 (31%)
4 (21%)
Submission
25 (46%)
8 (42%)
Decision
12 (22%)

Combat Edge model read

Randy Couture82%
Ricco Rodriguez 18%Elo baseline: 68%

The Combat Edge model makes Randy Couture a 82% favorite over Ricco Rodriguez in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (68%).

Randy Couture holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1721 to 1591, a 130-point edge.

Ricco Rodriguez enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Randy Couture finishes 58% of wins inside the distance, Ricco Rodriguez 78%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.