Combat Edge Intelligence

Randy Mboyo vs Rustam Serbiev

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

4-2-0Record9-6-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'10"Height5'11"
-Reach69"
157 lbsWeight169 lbs
Manchester Top TeamTeamAmerican Kickboxing Academy

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Randy MboyoNow 1538
If they win+24→ 1562
If they lose-24→ 1514
Rustam SerbievNow 1540
If they win+16→ 1556
If they lose-16→ 1524

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1511 · 5 fightsPre-fight Elo1498 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Randy MboyoRustam Serbiev
15001550202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (100%)
KO/TKO
5 (56%)
0 (0%)
Submission
4 (44%)
0 (0%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Randy Mboyo71%
Rustam Serbiev 29%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Randy Mboyo a 71% favorite over Rustam Serbiev in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Rustam Serbiev's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1538 vs 1540), separated by just 2 points.

Randy Mboyo finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Rustam Serbiev 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.