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Combat Edge Intelligence

Randy Mboyo vs Tiki Ghosn

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

4-2-0Record10-7-1
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'10"Height5'10"
-ReachTBD
157 lbsWeight169 lbs
Manchester Top TeamTeam

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Randy MboyoNow 1542
If they win+24→ 1566
If they lose-24→ 1518
Tiki GhosnNow 1540
If they win+16→ 1556
If they lose-16→ 1524

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1521 · 5 fightsPre-fight Elo1546 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
2.78
Not available
Strike accuracy
47%
Not available
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.94
Not available
Strike defense
58%
Not available
Takedown avg.
0.41
Not available
Takedown accuracy
50%
Not available
Takedown defense
62%
Not available
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Randy MboyoTiki Ghosn
1450150015502008200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (100%)
KO/TKO
2 (20%)
0 (0%)
Submission
2 (20%)
0 (0%)
Decision
6 (60%)

Combat Edge model read

Randy Mboyo61%
Tiki Ghosn 39%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Randy Mboyo a 61% favorite over Tiki Ghosn in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1542 vs 1540), separated by just 2 points.

Tiki Ghosn enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Randy Mboyo finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Tiki Ghosn 40%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.