Combat Edge Intelligence

Rani Yahya vs Ray Rodriguez

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

28-12-1Record16-8-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'6"Height5'7"
67"ReachTBD
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Constrictor TeamTeamOhana Academy

What's at stake

Rani Yahya is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +8 while a loss costs more — Ray Rodriguez carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Rani YahyaNow 1690
If they win+8→ 1698
If they lose-16→ 1674
Ray RodriguezNow 1575
If they win+16→ 1591
If they lose-8→ 1567

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1656 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1571 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.71
Sig. strikes / min
0.90
39%
Strike accuracy
28%
2.08
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.89
50%
Strike defense
41%
2.73
Takedown avg.
1.42
31%
Takedown accuracy
50%
29%
Takedown defense
44%
1.82
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Rani YahyaRay Rodriguez
1550160016501700201920202021202220232024

Win method breakdown

0 (0%)
KO/TKO
3 (19%)
21 (75%)
Submission
8 (50%)
7 (25%)
Decision
5 (31%)

Combat Edge model read

Rani Yahya60%
Ray Rodriguez 40%Elo baseline: 66%

The Combat Edge model makes Rani Yahya a 60% favorite over Ray Rodriguez in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (66%).

Rani Yahya holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1690 to 1575, a 115-point edge.

Rani Yahya enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Ray Rodriguez enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Rani Yahya finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Ray Rodriguez 69%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.