Combat Edge Intelligence

Rani Yahya vs Ricky Simón

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

28-12-1Record22-7-1
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'6"Height5'6"
67"Reach69"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Constrictor TeamTeamAmerican Top Team Portland

What's at stake

Ricky Simón is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Rani Yahya carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Rani YahyaNow 1690
If they win+14→ 1704
If they lose-10→ 1680
Ricky SimónNow 1734
If they win+10→ 1744
If they lose-14→ 1720

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1656 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1711 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.71
Sig. strikes / min
3.04
39%
Strike accuracy
43%
2.08
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.85
50%
Strike defense
61%
2.73
Takedown avg.
4.66
31%
Takedown accuracy
42%
29%
Takedown defense
77%
1.82
Submission avg.
0.28

Trajectory

Rani YahyaRicky Simón
1700175020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

0 (0%)
KO/TKO
7 (32%)
21 (75%)
Submission
4 (18%)
7 (25%)
Decision
11 (50%)

Combat Edge model read

Ricky Simón79%
Rani Yahya 21%Elo baseline: 56%

The Combat Edge model makes Ricky Simón a 79% favorite over Rani Yahya in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (56%).

Ricky Simón holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1734 to 1690, a 44-point edge.

Rani Yahya enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Rani Yahya finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Ricky Simón 50%.

Ricky Simón carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.