Combat Edge Intelligence

Rani Yahya vs Russell Doane

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

28-12-1Record17-8-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'6"Height5'6"
67"Reach70,5"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Constrictor TeamTeamHawaii Elite MMA

What's at stake

Rani Yahya is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Russell Doane carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Rani YahyaNow 1690
If they win+11→ 1701
If they lose-13→ 1677
Russell DoaneNow 1654
If they win+13→ 1667
If they lose-11→ 1643

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1656 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1624 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.71
Sig. strikes / min
1.75
39%
Strike accuracy
41%
2.08
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
1.68
50%
Strike defense
54%
2.73
Takedown avg.
2.11
31%
Takedown accuracy
46%
29%
Takedown defense
53%
1.82
Submission avg.
0.77

Trajectory

Rani YahyaRussell Doane
16501700202220232024

Win method breakdown

0 (0%)
KO/TKO
7 (41%)
21 (75%)
Submission
6 (35%)
7 (25%)
Decision
4 (24%)

Combat Edge model read

Russell Doane54%
Rani Yahya 46%Elo baseline: 45%

The Combat Edge model makes Russell Doane a 54% favorite over Rani Yahya in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Rani Yahya's way (45%).

Rani Yahya holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1690 to 1654, a 36-point edge.

Rani Yahya enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Russell Doane enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Rani Yahya finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Russell Doane 76%.

Russell Doane carries a 3-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.