Rani Yahya vs Tom Niinimaki
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
28-12-1Record22-8-1
BantamweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'6"Height5'9"
67"ReachTBD
135 lbsWeight145 lbs
Constrictor TeamTeamFinnfighters' Gym
What's at stake
Rani Yahya is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Tom Niinimaki carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+10→ 1700
If they lose-14→ 1676
If they win+14→ 1643
If they lose-10→ 1619
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1657 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1588 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Rani YahyaTom Niinimaki
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Rani Yahya68%
Tom Niinimaki 32%Elo baseline: 59%
The Combat Edge model makes Rani Yahya a 68% favorite over Tom Niinimaki in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (59%).
Rani Yahya holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1690 to 1629, a 61-point edge.
Rani Yahya enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Rani Yahya finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Tom Niinimaki 68%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.