Raoni Barcelos vs Ricky Simón
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
22-5-0Record22-7-1
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'7"Height5'6"
67"Reach69"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Laerte Barcelos TeamTeamAmerican Top Team Portland· 1659 avg Elo · 3 rated
What's at stake
Raoni Barcelos is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Ricky Simón carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+14→ 1794
If they lose-18→ 1762
If they win+14→ 1749
If they lose-10→ 1725
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1709 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1712 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Raoni BarcelosRicky Simón
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Ricky Simón53%
Raoni Barcelos 47%Elo baseline: 44%
The Combat Edge model makes Ricky Simón a 53% favorite over Raoni Barcelos in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Raoni Barcelos's way (44%).
Raoni Barcelos holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1780 to 1735, a 45-point edge.
Raoni Barcelos enters on a 5-fight win streak.
Raoni Barcelos finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Ricky Simón 50%.
Ricky Simón carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.