Raoni Barcelos vs Said Nurmagomedov
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
22-6-0Record18-5-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'7"Height5'8"
67"Reach70"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Laerte Barcelos TeamTeamFight Club Akhmat· 1680 avg Elo · 29 rated
What's at stake
Raoni Barcelos is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Said Nurmagomedov carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+11→ 1770
If they lose-13→ 1746
If they win+17→ 1749
If they lose-15→ 1717
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1712 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1692 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Raoni BarcelosSaid Nurmagomedov
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Raoni Barcelos and Said Nurmagomedov within a point of even.
Raoni Barcelos holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1759 to 1732, a 27-point edge.
Said Nurmagomedov enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Raoni Barcelos finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Said Nurmagomedov 56%.
Said Nurmagomedov carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.