Raoni Barcelos vs Taylor Lapilus
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
22-6-0Record25-4-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'7"Height5'6"
67"Reach73"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Laerte Barcelos TeamTeamMMA Factory
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1771
If they lose-12→ 1747
If they win+16→ 1772
If they lose-16→ 1740
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1712 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1642 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Raoni BarcelosTaylor Lapilus
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Taylor Lapilus57%
Raoni Barcelos 43%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Taylor Lapilus a 57% favorite over Raoni Barcelos in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Raoni Barcelos's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1759 vs 1756), separated by just 3 points.
Taylor Lapilus enters on a 6-fight win streak.
Raoni Barcelos finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Taylor Lapilus 44%.
Taylor Lapilus carries a 6-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.