Raoni Barcelos vs Timur Valiev
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
22-6-0Record20-5-0
BantamweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'7"Height5'6"
67"Reach67"
135 lbsWeight138 lbs
Laerte Barcelos TeamTeamDagFighter· 1716 avg Elo · 5 rated
What's at stake
Raoni Barcelos is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Timur Valiev carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+10→ 1769
If they lose-14→ 1745
If they win+18→ 1731
If they lose-14→ 1699
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1712 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1587 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Raoni BarcelosTimur Valiev
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Timur Valiev54%
Raoni Barcelos 46%Elo baseline: 43%
The Combat Edge model makes Timur Valiev a 54% favorite over Raoni Barcelos in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Raoni Barcelos's way (43%).
Raoni Barcelos holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1759 to 1713, a 46-point edge.
Raoni Barcelos finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Timur Valiev 40%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.