
Raoni Barcelos vs Trevin Jones
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
What's at stake
Raoni Barcelos is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +7 while a loss costs more — Trevin Jones carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
The Combat Edge model makes Raoni Barcelos a 92% favorite over Trevin Jones in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (79%).
Raoni Barcelos holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1780 to 1554, a 226-point edge.
Raoni Barcelos enters on a 5-fight win streak.
Trevin Jones enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Raoni Barcelos finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Trevin Jones 50%.
Raoni Barcelos and Trevin Jones share 1 common opponent: Cody Garbrandt.
Trevin Jones carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.