Combat Edge Intelligence

Raoni Barcelos vs Trevin Jones

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

22-5-0Record14-12-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'7"Height5'6"
67"Reach70"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Laerte Barcelos TeamTeamVida Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu

What's at stake

Raoni Barcelos is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +7 while a loss costs more — Trevin Jones carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Raoni BarcelosNow 1780
If they win+7→ 1787
If they lose-25→ 1755
Trevin JonesNow 1554
If they win+25→ 1579
If they lose-7→ 1547

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1708 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1619 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.92
Sig. strikes / min
2.13
52%
Strike accuracy
37%
4.40
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.29
61%
Strike defense
40%
2.22
Takedown avg.
0.62
31%
Takedown accuracy
15%
88%
Takedown defense
60%
0.58
Submission avg.
0.21

Trajectory

Raoni BarcelosTrevin Jones
16001700180020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

8 (36%)
KO/TKO
3 (21%)
3 (14%)
Submission
4 (29%)
11 (50%)
Decision
7 (50%)

Combat Edge model read

Raoni Barcelos92%
Trevin Jones 8%Elo baseline: 79%

The Combat Edge model makes Raoni Barcelos a 92% favorite over Trevin Jones in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (79%).

Raoni Barcelos holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1780 to 1554, a 226-point edge.

Raoni Barcelos enters on a 5-fight win streak.

Trevin Jones enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Raoni Barcelos finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Trevin Jones 50%.

Raoni Barcelos and Trevin Jones share 1 common opponent: Cody Garbrandt.

Trevin Jones carries a 3-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (1)

WinDecision (unanimous) · 2025
Cody Garbrandt
LossDecision (Unanimous) · 2023