Combat Edge Intelligence

Raoni Barcelos vs Urijah Faber

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Urijah Faber
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Urijah Faber

“The California Kid”

35-11-0BantamweightUFC

1777Great

Tale of the tape

22-5-0Record35-11-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'7"Height5'6"
67"ReachTBD
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Laerte Barcelos TeamTeamTeam Alpha Male

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Raoni BarcelosNow 1780
If they win+16→ 1796
If they lose-16→ 1764
Urijah FaberNow 1777
If they win+12→ 1789
If they lose-12→ 1765

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1708 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1690 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.92
Sig. strikes / min
2.65
52%
Strike accuracy
41%
4.40
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.59
61%
Strike defense
64%
2.22
Takedown avg.
1.54
31%
Takedown accuracy
30%
88%
Takedown defense
58%
0.58
Submission avg.
0.85

Trajectory

Raoni BarcelosUrijah Faber
1700175018002017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

8 (36%)
KO/TKO
10 (29%)
3 (14%)
Submission
17 (50%)
11 (50%)
Decision
7 (21%)

Combat Edge model read

Raoni Barcelos75%
Urijah Faber 25%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Raoni Barcelos a 75% favorite over Urijah Faber in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1780 vs 1777), separated by just 3 points.

Raoni Barcelos enters on a 5-fight win streak.

Raoni Barcelos finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Urijah Faber 79%.

Raoni Barcelos and Urijah Faber share 1 common opponent: Ricky Simón.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (1)

WinDecision (unanimous) · 2025
Ricky Simón
WinTKO · 2019