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Combat Edge Intelligence

Raoni Barcelos vs Victor Henry

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Victor Henry
us

Victor Henry

“La Mangosta”

25-7-0BantamweightUFC

1731Good

Tale of the tape

22-6-0Record25-7-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'7"Height5'7"
67"Reach68"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs

What's at stake

Raoni Barcelos is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Victor Henry carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Raoni BarcelosNow 1759
If they win+11→ 1770
If they lose-13→ 1746
Victor HenryNow 1731
If they win+13→ 1744
If they lose-11→ 1720

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1712 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1641 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

4.65
Sig. strikes / min
7.17
52%
Strike accuracy
53%
4.24
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
5.19
61%
Strike defense
48%
2.51
Takedown avg.
1.04
3%
Takedown accuracy
43%
88%
Takedown defense
81%
0.68
Submission avg.
0.35

Trajectory

Raoni BarcelosVictor Henry
1700175018002023202420252026

Win method breakdown

8 (36%)
KO/TKO
7 (28%)
3 (14%)
Submission
8 (32%)
11 (50%)
Decision
10 (40%)

Combat Edge model read

Raoni Barcelos64%
Victor Henry 36%Elo baseline: 54%

The Combat Edge model makes Raoni Barcelos a 64% favorite over Victor Henry in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (54%).

Raoni Barcelos holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1759 to 1731, a 28-point edge.

Raoni Barcelos finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Victor Henry 60%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.