Raphael Assunção vs Victor Henry
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
28-10-0Record25-7-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'5"Height5'7"
66"Reach68"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Xtreme CoutureTeamUWF USA
What's at stake
Victor Henry is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Raphael Assunção carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+13→ 1720
If they lose-11→ 1696
If they win+11→ 1740
If they lose-13→ 1716
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1700 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1641 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Raphael AssunçãoVictor Henry
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Victor Henry64%
Raphael Assunção 36%Elo baseline: 53%
The Combat Edge model makes Victor Henry a 64% favorite over Raphael Assunção in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (53%).
Victor Henry holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1729 to 1707, a 22-point edge.
Raphael Assunção finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Victor Henry 60%.
Victor Henry carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.