Combat Edge Intelligence

Raphael Assunção vs Ricky Simón

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

28-10-0Record22-7-1
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'5"Height5'6"
66"Reach69"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Xtreme CoutureTeamAmerican Top Team Portland· 1659 avg Elo · 3 rated

What's at stake

Ricky Simón is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Raphael Assunção carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Raphael AssunçãoNow 1707
If they win+13→ 1720
If they lose-11→ 1696
Ricky SimónNow 1735
If they win+11→ 1746
If they lose-13→ 1722

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1700 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1712 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.22
Sig. strikes / min
3.04
43%
Strike accuracy
43%
2.50
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.85
67%
Strike defense
61%
1.65
Takedown avg.
4.66
39%
Takedown accuracy
42%
78%
Takedown defense
77%
0.25
Submission avg.
0.28

Trajectory

Raphael AssunçãoRicky Simón
17001750202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (14%)
KO/TKO
7 (32%)
10 (36%)
Submission
4 (18%)
14 (50%)
Decision
11 (50%)

Combat Edge model read

Ricky Simón72%
Raphael Assunção 28%Elo baseline: 54%

The Combat Edge model makes Ricky Simón a 72% favorite over Raphael Assunção in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (54%).

Ricky Simón holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1735 to 1707, a 28-point edge.

Raphael Assunção finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Ricky Simón 50%.

Ricky Simón carries a 3-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.