Raphael Assunção vs Ricky Simón
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
28-10-0Record22-8-1
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'5"Height5'6"
66"Reach69"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Xtreme CoutureTeamAmerican Top Team Portland· 1662 avg Elo · 3 rated
What's at stake
Ricky Simón is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Raphael Assunção carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+13→ 1718
If they lose-11→ 1694
If they win+11→ 1732
If they lose-13→ 1708
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1700 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1719 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Raphael AssunçãoRicky Simón
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Ricky Simón66%
Raphael Assunção 34%Elo baseline: 52%
The Combat Edge model makes Ricky Simón a 66% favorite over Raphael Assunção in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (52%).
Ricky Simón holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1721 to 1705, a 16-point edge.
Raphael Assunção finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Ricky Simón 50%.
Ricky Simón carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.