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Combat Edge Intelligence

Raphael Pessoa vs Terrance Chatman

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

10-5-0Record5-2-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'4"Height6'0"
78″Reach76"
247 lbsWeight266 lbs
Top Brother MMATeam4oz. Fight Club· 1605 avg Elo · 9 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Raphael PessoaNow 1565
If they win+16→ 1581
If they lose-16→ 1549
Terrance ChatmanNow 1564
If they win+24→ 1588
If they lose-24→ 1540

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1576 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1507 · 7 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

2.16
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
27%
Strike accuracy
Not available
3.43
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
42%
Strike defense
Not available
0
Takedown avg.
Not available
0%
Takedown accuracy
Not available
100%
Takedown defense
Not available
0
Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Raphael PessoaTerrance Chatman
155016002023202420252026

Win method breakdown

6 (60%)
KO/TKO
4 (80%)
1 (10%)
Submission
0 (0%)
3 (30%)
Decision
1 (20%)

Combat Edge model read

Raphael Pessoa55%
Terrance Chatman 45%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Raphael Pessoa a 55% favorite over Terrance Chatman in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1565 vs 1564), separated by just 1 points.

Raphael Pessoa enters on a 5-fight loss streak.

Raphael Pessoa finishes 70% of wins inside the distance, Terrance Chatman 80%.

Raphael Pessoa carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.