Raphael Pessoa vs Wes Shivers
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
10-5-0Record7-1-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'4"Height6'8"
78″ReachTBD
247 lbsWeight265 lbs
Top Brother MMATeamIndependent
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1582
If they lose-16→ 1550
If they win+24→ 1589
If they lose-24→ 1541
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1577 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1495 · 5 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Raphael PessoaWes Shivers
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Wes Shivers52%
Raphael Pessoa 48%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Wes Shivers a 52% favorite over Raphael Pessoa in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Raphael Pessoa's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1566 vs 1565), separated by just 1 points.
Raphael Pessoa enters on a 5-fight loss streak.
Wes Shivers enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Raphael Pessoa finishes 70% of wins inside the distance, Wes Shivers 100%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.