Raquel Pennington vs Roxanne Modafferi
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
16-9-0Record25-20-0
Women's BantamweightDivisionFlyweight
5'7"Height5'6"
67"ReachTBD
135 lbsWeight125 lbs
Altitude MMATeamSyndicate MMA
What's at stake
Raquel Pennington is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Roxanne Modafferi carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+11→ 1686
If they lose-21→ 1654
If they win+16→ 1575
If they lose-8→ 1551
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1641 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1659 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Raquel PenningtonRoxanne Modafferi
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Raquel Pennington54%
Roxanne Modafferi 46%Elo baseline: 66%
The Combat Edge model makes Raquel Pennington a 54% favorite over Roxanne Modafferi in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (66%).
Raquel Pennington holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1675 to 1559, a 116-point edge.
Roxanne Modafferi enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Raquel Pennington finishes 31% of wins inside the distance, Roxanne Modafferi 36%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.