Combat Edge Intelligence

Rashad Coulter vs Tai Tuivasa

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tai Tuivasa
au

Tai Tuivasa

“Bam Bam”

14-10-0HeavyweightUFC

1611Solid

Tale of the tape

9-5-0Record14-10-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
5'11"Height6'2"
41,5"Reach75"
208 lbsWeight265 lbs
Fortis MMATeamLions High Performance Centre

What's at stake

Tai Tuivasa is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Rashad Coulter carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Rashad CoulterNow 1560
If they win+18→ 1578
If they lose-14→ 1546
Tai TuivasaNow 1611
If they win+14→ 1625
If they lose-18→ 1593

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1518 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1716 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.82
Sig. strikes / min
3.66
56%
Strike accuracy
48%
6.68
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.97
51%
Strike defense
44%
0
Takedown avg.
0
0%
Takedown accuracy
0%
63%
Takedown defense
60%
0
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Rashad CoulterTai Tuivasa
155016001650201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

8 (89%)
KO/TKO
13 (93%)
0 (0%)
Submission
0 (0%)
1 (11%)
Decision
1 (7%)

Combat Edge model read

Tai Tuivasa75%
Rashad Coulter 25%Elo baseline: 57%

The Combat Edge model makes Tai Tuivasa a 75% favorite over Rashad Coulter in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (57%).

Tai Tuivasa holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1611 to 1560, a 51-point edge.

Tai Tuivasa enters on a 7-fight loss streak.

Rashad Coulter finishes 89% of wins inside the distance, Tai Tuivasa 93%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.