Rashad Evans vs Sean Salmon
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
20-8-1Record18-21-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
5'11"Height5'10"
75"ReachTBD
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
Kill Cliff FCTeam
What's at stake
Rashad Evans is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +5 while a loss costs more — Sean Salmon carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+5→ 1677
If they lose-19→ 1653
If they win+19→ 1478
If they lose-5→ 1454
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1724 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1513 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Rashad EvansSean Salmon
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Rashad Evans80%
Sean Salmon 20%Elo baseline: 77%
The Combat Edge model makes Rashad Evans a 80% favorite over Sean Salmon in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (77%).
Rashad Evans holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1672 to 1459, a 213-point edge.
Sean Salmon enters on a 10-fight loss streak.
Rashad Evans finishes 45% of wins inside the distance, Sean Salmon 72%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.