Combat Edge Intelligence

Rasul Magomedov vs Volkan Oezdemir

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

10-0-0Record21-8-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'1"Height6'1"
73"Reach75"
205 lbsWeight206 lbs
KHK MMA Team· 1684 avg Elo · 7 ratedTeamFight Move Academy

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Rasul MagomedovNow 1717
If they win+16→ 1733
If they lose-16→ 1701
Volkan OezdemirNow 1719
If they win+16→ 1735
If they lose-16→ 1703

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1522 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1716 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
4.95
TBD
Strike accuracy
49%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.22
TBD
Strike defense
55%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0.50
TBD
Takedown accuracy
29%
TBD
Takedown defense
80%
TBD
Submission avg.
0.10

Trajectory

Rasul MagomedovVolkan Oezdemir
160016501700202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (40%)
KO/TKO
14 (67%)
2 (20%)
Submission
2 (10%)
4 (40%)
Decision
5 (24%)

Combat Edge model read

Rasul Magomedov63%
Volkan Oezdemir 37%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Rasul Magomedov a 63% favorite over Volkan Oezdemir in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Volkan Oezdemir's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1717 vs 1719), separated by just 2 points.

Rasul Magomedov enters on a 10-fight win streak.

Rasul Magomedov finishes 60% of wins inside the distance, Volkan Oezdemir 76%.

Volkan Oezdemir carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.