Combat Edge Intelligence

Raul Castillo vs Wes Schultz

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Wes Schultz
us

Wes Schultz

“Party Time”

9-4-0MiddleweightUFC

1603Solid

Tale of the tape

7-1-0Record9-4-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'10"Height6'2"
UnknownReach77"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Raul Castillo Martial ArtsTeamPura Vida BJJ

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Raul CastilloNow 1601
If they win+24→ 1625
If they lose-24→ 1577
Wes SchultzNow 1603
If they win+16→ 1619
If they lose-16→ 1587

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1505 · 7 fightsPre-fight Elo1552 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
2.91
TBD
Strike accuracy
47%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.11
TBD
Strike defense
43%
TBD
Takedown avg.
2.39
TBD
Takedown accuracy
0%
TBD
Takedown defense
0%
TBD
Submission avg.
3.59

Trajectory

Raul CastilloWes Schultz
160020162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (57%)
KO/TKO
2 (22%)
2 (29%)
Submission
6 (67%)
1 (14%)
Decision
1 (11%)

Combat Edge model read

Wes Schultz60%
Raul Castillo 40%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Wes Schultz a 60% favorite over Raul Castillo in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1601 vs 1603), separated by just 2 points.

Raul Castillo finishes 86% of wins inside the distance, Wes Schultz 89%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.