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Combat Edge Intelligence

Raul Rosas Jr. vs Ricky Turcios

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

13-1-0Record12-6-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'9"Height5'8"
67" Reach71"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
10th Planet Jiu Jitsu Las VegasTeamTeam Alpha Male· 1646 avg Elo · 20 rated

What's at stake

Raul Rosas Jr. is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Ricky Turcios carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Raul Rosas Jr.Now 1764
If they win+9→ 1773
If they lose-23→ 1741
Ricky TurciosNow 1593
If they win+23→ 1616
If they lose-9→ 1584

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1644 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1599 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

1.34
Sig. strikes / min
4.73
42%
Strike accuracy
40%
1.24
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.72
53%
Strike defense
52%
6.10
Takedown avg.
0.91
3%
Takedown accuracy
20%
25%
Takedown defense
44%
0.87
Submission avg.
0.36

Trajectory

Raul Rosas Jr.Ricky Turcios
160016501700175020252026

Win method breakdown

3 (23%)
KO/TKO
3 (25%)
6 (46%)
Submission
1 (8%)
4 (31%)
Decision
8 (67%)

Combat Edge model read

Raul Rosas Jr.87%
Ricky Turcios 13%Elo baseline: 73%

The Combat Edge model makes Raul Rosas Jr. a 87% favorite over Ricky Turcios in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (73%).

Raul Rosas Jr. holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1764 to 1593, a 171-point edge.

Raul Rosas Jr. enters on a 6-fight win streak.

Ricky Turcios enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Raul Rosas Jr. finishes 69% of wins inside the distance, Ricky Turcios 33%.

Ricky Turcios carries a 4-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.