Raul Rosas Jr. vs Ricky Turcios
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
12-1-0Record12-6-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'9"Height5'8"
67" Reach71"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
10th Planet Jiu Jitsu Las VegasTeamTeam Alpha Male· 1645 avg Elo · 21 rated
What's at stake
Raul Rosas Jr. is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Ricky Turcios carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+9→ 1752
If they lose-23→ 1720
If they win+23→ 1615
If they lose-9→ 1583
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1616 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1598 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Raul Rosas Jr.Ricky Turcios
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Raul Rosas Jr.92%
Ricky Turcios 8%Elo baseline: 70%
The Combat Edge model makes Raul Rosas Jr. a 92% favorite over Ricky Turcios in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (70%).
Raul Rosas Jr. holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1743 to 1592, a 151-point edge.
Raul Rosas Jr. enters on a 5-fight win streak.
Ricky Turcios enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Raul Rosas Jr. finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Ricky Turcios 33%.
Ricky Turcios carries a 4-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.