Raul Rosas Jr. vs Vince Morales
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
12-1-0Record16-11-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'9"Height5'7"
67" Reach70"
135 lbsWeight136 lbs
10th Planet Jiu Jitsu Las VegasTeamSyndicate MMA
What's at stake
Raul Rosas Jr. is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Vince Morales carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+11→ 1754
If they lose-21→ 1722
If they win+16→ 1635
If they lose-8→ 1611
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1616 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1614 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Raul Rosas Jr.Vince Morales
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Raul Rosas Jr.87%
Vince Morales 13%Elo baseline: 67%
The Combat Edge model makes Raul Rosas Jr. a 87% favorite over Vince Morales in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (67%).
Raul Rosas Jr. holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1743 to 1619, a 124-point edge.
Raul Rosas Jr. enters on a 5-fight win streak.
Vince Morales enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Raul Rosas Jr. finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Vince Morales 75%.
Vince Morales carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.