Combat Edge Intelligence

Raulian Paiva vs Timmy Cuamba

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Timmy Cuamba
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Timmy Cuamba

“Twilight Timmy”

10-4-0FeatherweightUFC

1649Solid

Tale of the tape

23-6-1Record10-4-0
BantamweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'8"Height5'8"
69"Reach71"
135 lbsWeight145 lbs
Team Alpha MaleTeamXtreme Couture

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Raulian PaivaNow 1648
If they win+16→ 1664
If they lose-16→ 1632
Timmy CuambaNow 1649
If they win+16→ 1665
If they lose-16→ 1633

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1609 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1592 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.14
Sig. strikes / min
2.77
43%
Strike accuracy
44%
5.01
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.58
49%
Strike defense
58%
0.65
Takedown avg.
1.31
24%
Takedown accuracy
32%
77%
Takedown defense
72%
0.16
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Raulian PaivaTimmy Cuamba
165020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (17%)
KO/TKO
5 (50%)
3 (13%)
Submission
0 (0%)
16 (70%)
Decision
5 (50%)

Combat Edge model read

Timmy Cuamba63%
Raulian Paiva 37%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Timmy Cuamba a 63% favorite over Raulian Paiva in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1648 vs 1649), separated by just 1 points.

Raulian Paiva finishes 30% of wins inside the distance, Timmy Cuamba 50%.

Timmy Cuamba carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.