Combat Edge Intelligence

Ray Borg vs Rogério Bontorin

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Ray Borg
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Ray Borg

“The Tazmexican Devil”

16-5-0BantamweightEFC

1739Good

Tale of the tape

16-5-0Record17-5-0
BantamweightDivisionFlyweight
5'4"Height5'5"
TBDReach67"
135 lbsWeight125 lbs
Jackson's MMA AcomaTeamGile Ribeiro Team

What's at stake

Ray Borg is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +12 while a loss costs more — Rogério Bontorin carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Ray BorgNow 1739
If they win+12→ 1751
If they lose-20→ 1719
Rogério BontorinNow 1661
If they win+20→ 1681
If they lose-12→ 1649

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1667 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1627 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.52
Sig. strikes / min
2.63
52%
Strike accuracy
53%
1.93
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.27
48%
Strike defense
50%
3.89
Takedown avg.
2.90
50%
Takedown accuracy
60%
47%
Takedown defense
52%
1.04
Submission avg.
0.97

Trajectory

Ray BorgRogério Bontorin
1650170017502020202120222023

Win method breakdown

1 (6%)
KO/TKO
3 (18%)
6 (38%)
Submission
11 (65%)
9 (56%)
Decision
3 (18%)

Combat Edge model read

Ray Borg78%
Rogério Bontorin 22%Elo baseline: 61%

The Combat Edge model makes Ray Borg a 78% favorite over Rogério Bontorin in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (61%).

Ray Borg holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1739 to 1661, a 78-point edge.

Ray Borg enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Ray Borg finishes 44% of wins inside the distance, Rogério Bontorin 82%.

Ray Borg and Rogério Bontorin share 1 common opponent: Gustavo Gabriel Silva.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (1)

Win Decision · 2019
Gustavo Gabriel Silva
Win Standing Rear Naked Choke · 2018