Ray Borg vs Shane Howell
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
16-5-0Record13-10-0
BantamweightDivisionFlyweight
5'4"Height5'8"
TBDReachTBD
135 lbsWeight125 lbs
Jackson's MMA AcomaTeamR-1 MMA
What's at stake
Ray Borg is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +8 while a loss costs more — Shane Howell carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+8→ 1747
If they lose-24→ 1715
If they win+24→ 1562
If they lose-8→ 1530
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1667 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1502 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Ray BorgShane Howell
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Ray Borg84%
Shane Howell 16%Elo baseline: 76%
The Combat Edge model makes Ray Borg a 84% favorite over Shane Howell in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (76%).
Ray Borg holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1739 to 1538, a 201-point edge.
Ray Borg enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Shane Howell enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Ray Borg finishes 44% of wins inside the distance, Shane Howell 85%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.