Ray Perales vs Samuel Bily
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
13-22-0Record0-2-0
WelterweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'10"Height6'0"
TBDReach-
170 lbsWeight174 lbs
Primal Tribe Fighting ClubTeam
What's at stake
Samuel Bily is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +20 while a loss costs more — Ray Perales carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+14→ 1401
If they lose-10→ 1377
If they win+20→ 1467
If they lose-28→ 1419
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1477 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1486 · 2 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Ray PeralesSamuel Bily
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Samuel Bily70%
Ray Perales 30%Elo baseline: 59%
The Combat Edge model makes Samuel Bily a 70% favorite over Ray Perales in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (59%).
Samuel Bily holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1447 to 1387, a 60-point edge.
Ray Perales enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Samuel Bily enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Ray Perales finishes 54% of wins inside the distance.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.