Ray Sefo vs Roggers Souza
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
2-2-0Record15-10-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'0"Height6'4"
TBDReach79"
249 lbsWeight265 lbs
Ray Sefo Fight AcademyTeamAlcateia MMA
What's at stake
Roggers Souza is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Ray Sefo carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+26→ 1530
If they lose-22→ 1482
If they win+15→ 1545
If they lose-17→ 1513
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1524 · 4 fightsPre-fight Elo1560 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Ray SefoRoggers Souza
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Roggers Souza58%
Ray Sefo 42%Elo baseline: 54%
The Combat Edge model makes Roggers Souza a 58% favorite over Ray Sefo in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (54%).
Roggers Souza holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1530 to 1504, a 26-point edge.
Ray Sefo enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Roggers Souza enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Roggers Souza 93%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.