Combat Edge Intelligence

Rayan Atmani vs Ricardo Almeida

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

6-3-0Record13-5-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'1"Height5'11"
73"ReachTBD
170 lbsWeight170 lbs

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Rayan AtmaniNow 1604
If they win+16→ 1620
If they lose-16→ 1588
Ricardo AlmeidaNow 1603
If they win+16→ 1619
If they lose-16→ 1587

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1534 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1647 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
2.02
TBD
Strike accuracy
49%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
1.20
TBD
Strike defense
61%
TBD
Takedown avg.
3.74
TBD
Takedown accuracy
38%
TBD
Takedown defense
31%
TBD
Submission avg.
1.21

Trajectory

Rayan AtmaniRicardo Almeida
15501600200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

5 (83%)
KO/TKO
0 (0%)
1 (17%)
Submission
5 (38%)
0 (0%)
Decision
8 (62%)

Combat Edge model read

Rayan Atmani66%
Ricardo Almeida 34%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Rayan Atmani a 66% favorite over Ricardo Almeida in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1604 vs 1603), separated by just 1 points.

Rayan Atmani enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Rayan Atmani finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Ricardo Almeida 38%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.