Regan Upshaw vs Sam Fournier
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
0-1-0Record2-2-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'0"Height6'5"
-Reach-
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
Havoc MMATeam
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1502
If they lose-24→ 1454
If they win+24→ 1508
If they lose-24→ 1460
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1586 · 1 fightsPre-fight Elo1487 · 4 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Regan UpshawSam Fournier
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Regan Upshaw56%
Sam Fournier 44%Elo baseline: 49%
The Combat Edge model makes Regan Upshaw a 56% favorite over Sam Fournier in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Sam Fournier's way (49%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1478 vs 1484), separated by just 6 points.
Sam Fournier enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.