Combat Edge Intelligence

Regan Upshaw vs Sean Salmon

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Regan Upshaw
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Regan Upshaw

“The Eternal”

0-1-0Light HeavyweightONE

1478Average

Tale of the tape

0-1-0Record18-21-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'0"Height5'10"
-ReachTBD
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
Havoc MMATeamTBD

What's at stake

Regan Upshaw is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +23 while a loss costs more — Sean Salmon carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Regan UpshawNow 1478
If they win+23→ 1501
If they lose-25→ 1453
Sean SalmonNow 1458
If they win+13→ 1471
If they lose-11→ 1447

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1585 · 1 fightsPre-fight Elo1513 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
1.58
TBD
Strike accuracy
38%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.15
TBD
Strike defense
65%
TBD
Takedown avg.
4.30
TBD
Takedown accuracy
50%
TBD
Takedown defense
0%
TBD
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Regan UpshawSean Salmon
14501500155016002011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

0 (0%)
KO/TKO
7 (39%)
0 (0%)
Submission
6 (33%)
0 (0%)
Decision
5 (28%)

Combat Edge model read

Regan Upshaw75%
Sean Salmon 25%Elo baseline: 53%

The Combat Edge model makes Regan Upshaw a 75% favorite over Sean Salmon in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (53%).

Regan Upshaw holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1478 to 1458, a 20-point edge.

Sean Salmon enters on a 10-fight loss streak.

Sean Salmon 72%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.