Combat Edge Intelligence

Rei Tsuruya vs Ricky Simón

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

11-1-0Record22-7-1
FlyweightDivisionBantamweight
5'7"Height5'6"
68"Reach69"
126 lbsWeight135 lbs
The Blackbelt Japan· 1684 avg Elo · 4 ratedTeamAmerican Top Team Portland· 1659 avg Elo · 3 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Rei TsuruyaNow 1739
If they win+16→ 1755
If they lose-16→ 1723
Ricky SimónNow 1735
If they win+12→ 1747
If they lose-12→ 1723

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1600 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1712 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.40
Sig. strikes / min
3.04
54%
Strike accuracy
43%
1.91
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.85
43%
Strike defense
61%
5.03
Takedown avg.
4.66
6%
Takedown accuracy
42%
50%
Takedown defense
77%
2.01
Submission avg.
0.28

Trajectory

Rei TsuruyaRicky Simón
17001750202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (36%)
KO/TKO
7 (32%)
5 (45%)
Submission
4 (18%)
2 (18%)
Decision
11 (50%)

Combat Edge model read

Rei Tsuruya63%
Ricky Simón 37%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Rei Tsuruya a 63% favorite over Ricky Simón in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1739 vs 1735), separated by just 4 points.

Rei Tsuruya finishes 82% of wins inside the distance, Ricky Simón 50%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.