Combat Edge Intelligence

Rei Tsuruya vs Ricky Simón

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

11-1-0Record22-7-1
FlyweightDivisionBantamweight
5'7"Height5'6"
68"Reach69"
126 lbsWeight135 lbs
The Blackbelt JapanTeamAmerican Top Team Portland

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Rei TsuruyaNow 1729
If they win+16→ 1745
If they lose-16→ 1713
Ricky SimónNow 1734
If they win+12→ 1746
If they lose-12→ 1722

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1585 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1711 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.24
Sig. strikes / min
3.04
53%
Strike accuracy
43%
2.01
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.85
43%
Strike defense
61%
5.06
Takedown avg.
4.66
37%
Takedown accuracy
42%
50%
Takedown defense
77%
1.87
Submission avg.
0.28

Trajectory

Rei TsuruyaRicky Simón
17001750202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (36%)
KO/TKO
7 (32%)
5 (45%)
Submission
4 (18%)
2 (18%)
Decision
11 (50%)

Combat Edge model read

Rei Tsuruya61%
Ricky Simón 39%Elo baseline: 49%

The Combat Edge model makes Rei Tsuruya a 61% favorite over Ricky Simón in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Ricky Simón's way (49%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1729 vs 1734), separated by just 5 points.

Rei Tsuruya finishes 82% of wins inside the distance, Ricky Simón 50%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.