Combat Edge Intelligence

Reinier de Ridder vs Robert Whittaker

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

21-4-0Record27-9-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'4"Height6'0"
78"Reach73"
205 lbsWeight186 lbs
Combat BrothersTeamPMA Super Martial Arts

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Reinier de RidderNow 1746
If they win+16→ 1762
If they lose-16→ 1730
Robert WhittakerNow 1752
If they win+12→ 1764
If they lose-12→ 1740

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1703 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1752 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.47
Sig. strikes / min
4.39
49%
Strike accuracy
43%
2.36
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.36
47%
Strike defense
60%
2.56
Takedown avg.
0.73
10%
Takedown accuracy
10%
40%
Takedown defense
82%
0.55
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Reinier de RidderRobert Whittaker
17001750180020252026

Win method breakdown

5 (24%)
KO/TKO
11 (41%)
13 (62%)
Submission
5 (19%)
3 (14%)
Decision
11 (41%)

Combat Edge model read

Robert Whittaker71%
Reinier de Ridder 29%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Robert Whittaker a 71% favorite over Reinier de Ridder in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1746 vs 1752), separated by just 6 points.

Reinier de Ridder enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Reinier de Ridder finishes 86% of wins inside the distance, Robert Whittaker 59%.

Reinier de Ridder carries a 5-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.