Ren Sugiyama vs Rolando Dy
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
3-3-0Record14-13-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'8"Height5'8"
-ReachTBD
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
Target ShibuyaTeamBiagtan Muay Thai
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1546
If they lose-24→ 1498
If they win+12→ 1533
If they lose-12→ 1509
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1608 · 5 fightsPre-fight Elo1513 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Ren SugiyamaRolando Dy
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Ren Sugiyama64%
Rolando Dy 36%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Ren Sugiyama a 64% favorite over Rolando Dy in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1522 vs 1521), separated by just 1 points.
Rolando Dy enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Ren Sugiyama finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Rolando Dy 43%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.