Ren Sugiyama vs Yutaka Saito
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
3-3-0Record22-9-2
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'8"Height5'8"
-Reach-
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
What's at stake
Yutaka Saito is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +8 while a loss costs more — Ren Sugiyama carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+32→ 1553
If they lose-16→ 1505
If they win+8→ 1655
If they lose-16→ 1631
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1604 · 5 fightsPre-fight Elo1614 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Ren SugiyamaYutaka Saito
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Yutaka Saito75%
Ren Sugiyama 25%Elo baseline: 67%
The Combat Edge model makes Yutaka Saito a 75% favorite over Ren Sugiyama in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (67%).
Yutaka Saito holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1647 to 1521, a 126-point edge.
Ren Sugiyama finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Yutaka Saito 32%.
Ren Sugiyama and Yutaka Saito share 1 common opponent: Ren Hiramoto.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.